Index Methodology

Transparent, data-driven measurement of Olympic Truce compliance

Overview

The Olympic Truce Compliance Index provides the first systematic, evidence-based mechanism for monitoring adherence to the Olympic Truce resolution. Our methodology combines quantitative conflict data with qualitative diplomatic assessments to produce a comprehensive measure of global compliance. For Milano-Cortina 2026, the governing resolution is A/80/L.10 (November 2025).

The Index is designed by Multilateral Accountability Associates (MAA) and independently validated by Seton Hall University through its Center for Sports Media, Center for UN and Global Governance Studies, and Sports Polling Institute.

Five Compliance Categories

Each category is weighted and scored to produce the composite Truce Compliance Index

Ceasefire Compliance

Monitoring armed conflicts, military operations, and violations of cessation of hostilities during the Olympic Truce period.

Key Metrics:

Armed conflict incidentsMilitary operationsCasualty reportsTerritorial violations

Humanitarian Corridors

Tracking the establishment and maintenance of safe passage for humanitarian aid, medical supplies, and civilian movement—including maritime shipping lanes.

Key Metrics:

Active corridorsAid deliveriesCivilian evacuationsMaritime security

Stakeholder Engagement

Measuring diplomatic efforts, negotiations, and commitment from governments and international bodies.

Key Metrics:

Diplomatic meetingsUN resolutionsBilateral agreementsPublic commitments

Youth Impact

Assessing the impact on young people, including education disruption, displacement, and access to sports programs.

Key Metrics:

School closuresYouth displacementSports program accessRecruitment incidents

Media & Communications

Analyzing public discourse, media coverage, and official communications regarding the Olympic Truce.

Key Metrics:

Official statementsMedia coverage sentimentSocial media engagementPress releases

Scoring Methodology

Composite Score Calculation

The composite score (0-100) is calculated as a weighted average of the five category scores:

30%

Ceasefire

25%

Corridors

20%

Stakeholder

15%

Youth

10%

Media

Score Interpretation

80-100: Strong Compliance

60-79: Moderate Compliance

40-59: Partial Compliance

20-39: Limited Compliance

0-19: Non-Compliance

Data Sources

The Index draws on multiple authoritative sources to ensure accuracy and comprehensiveness:

ACLED

Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project

UCDP

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

ACAPS

Humanitarian Access Overview (80+ countries)

Humanitarian Outcomes

CORE surveys on aid accessibility

UNHCR

UN Refugee Agency displacement data

UN Documents

Official UN resolutions and reports

Crisis Group

International Crisis Group analysis

World Ports Source

Maritime intelligence on shipping lane security

Legal Grounding

The Truce Index is anchored in the UN General Assembly resolutions that establish and support the Olympic Truce. Our compliance categories align with the obligations set forth in these documents:

A/80/L.10Current